Villa Cubas vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
TFR
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 3
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
BVT
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
TFR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BVT
3 - 0
POL
11%
18%
72%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | -5 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
POL
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
POL
4 - 1
AMA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |