Villa Cubas vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 1
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
LAS
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 0
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BVT
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
TFR
1 - 3
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAS
4 - 2
POL
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POL
2 - 0
FAM
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BVT
2 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
TFR
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
POL
30%
23%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |