Vilhena vs Espigão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MOT
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 3
VIL
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARI
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
0 - 2
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARI
3 - 1
ESP
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
GEN
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROL
1 - 3
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 0
ESP
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |