Vilar de Perdizes vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
14º
6º
31
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEV
0 - 0
VPE
52%
21%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
VPE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VPE
1 - 1
SMA
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
VPE
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
MER
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
DUM
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 1
AMA
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
DUM
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |