Vilafranquense vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
LEX
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 2
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
FAR
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
ESA
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 2
ESA
15%
19%
65%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
4 - 0
ACV
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
LEX
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |