Vila Nova vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 2
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 2
CEA
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
TOM
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
OPE
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |