Vila Nova vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.8%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
10%
21%
69%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAT
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
APA
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATL
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APA
3 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
GOI
6%
16%
78%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JAT
2 - 2
MOR
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 0
MOR
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GOI
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |