Vila Nova vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 5
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATL
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
APA
2 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |