Vila Nova vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
VIL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
OES
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 2
AMF
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
OES
1 - 1
FFL
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 0
BRA
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 1
CRB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 2
FFL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |