Vila Nova vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
COT
2 - 0
VIL
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
OES
2 - 0
VIL
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
PPE
31%
29%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GOI
1 - 3
VIL
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAM
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 4
FFL
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LON
1 - 2
CSA
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 0
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 3
CSA
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CSA
5 - 1
OES
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |