Vila Nova vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
OES
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
58%
26%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIL
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRB
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
BOA
65%
24%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
29%
29%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
COT
0 - 2
OES
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 2
COT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |