Vila Nova vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
15%
26%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
BRU
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
TOM
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
BRU
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |