Vila Nova vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIL
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
OES
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
CEA
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ABC
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
ABC
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
AMF
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |