Vigor Senigallia vs Isernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
11º
10º
34
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
34 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 0
VSU
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VSU
0 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 1
RCF
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
2 - 2
VSU
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
ISE
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ISE
0 - 2
ANC
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 2
BFM
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
ISE
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 4
RCF
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |