Victoriano Arenas vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 1
VIC
65%
22%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 0
YUP
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
VIC
62%
23%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
ALE
31%
29%
40%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 0
CES
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
ITU
27%
27%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
CLA
3 - 1
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |