Vianense vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
2º
35
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
0 - 2
VIA
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIN
0 - 4
VIA
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
VIA
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
MER
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OSL
0 - 0
VIA
60%
21%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 6
TIR
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
FAF
5 - 1
VPE
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 1
VPE
64%
21%
16%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VPE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ABA
1 - 1
VPE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |