Homberg vs B. Mönchengladbach II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VFB
3 - 3
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
VFB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
VFB
0 - 4
MSV
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
KLE
3 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
VFB
1 - 2
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 2
BOR
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BOR
3 - 0
WUP
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BAY
1 - 0
BOR
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BOR
2 - 2
SWE
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
KFC
0 - 3
BOR
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +2 |