VESTA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SVV
0 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
SVV
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 0
SVV
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 2
SVV
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
SVV
2 - 0
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SUB
5 - 0
COL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
UND
2 - 2
SUB
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
SUB
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
HUB
3 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |