VESTA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SVV
1 - 1
CHM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
HUB
1 - 0
SVV
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
SVV
0 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
COL
2 - 3
SVV
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 1
SIT
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 1
VIC
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
COL
0 - 1
SUB
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
SUB
1 - 1
SIT
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 1
SUB
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 2
DOM
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |