Verdal vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
13º
12º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUR
5 - 4
VER
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VER
4 - 2
STR
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VER
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
ORK
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 2
MEL
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 3
LIL
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
RFK
24%
19%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SKT
5 - 0
LIL
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |