Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
JAG
0 - 2
VER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VER
0 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VER
0 - 1
ATS
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TIG
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
SNL
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 2
TOL
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
SNL
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |