Venray vs Moerse Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
24
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
3 - 1
VEN
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 1
UNI
68%
16%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VEN
4 - 0
ORI
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 0
VEN
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
RKZ
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Moerse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 0
SIL
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RKZ
1 - 1
MOE
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 2
MEE
15%
19%
67%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
MOE
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 5
KAM
16%
23%
61%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |