Venray vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
16º
7º
57
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RKV
3 - 1
VEN
29%
21%
50%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 0
HVC
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
7 - 0
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 4
VEN
49%
21%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
VEN
28%
20%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DON
1 - 0
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DON
3 - 1
RKV
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 1
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DON
4 - 2
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JUL
2 - 1
DON
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |