Velo Clube vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 2
VEL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 2
VEL
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BOA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |