Vélez Sarsfield II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
VEL
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 2
CAU
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAR
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
1 - 0
PAT
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 0
ALD
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
PAT
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
HUR
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |