Vélez Sarsfield II vs Atlético Rafaela II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
VEL
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ABR
0 - 0
VEL
10%
18%
73%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
ARS
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Rafaela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ATR
2 - 1
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
ATR
0 - 1
GLP
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ATR
2 - 0
NOB
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 3
ATR
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +2 |