Velbert vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
DUR
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
KLE
0 - 2
VEL
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
BOR
1 - 0
VEL
49%
22%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
DUS
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 1
YUK
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 0
DUS
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
YUK
3 - 4
AAA
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 1
SWE
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 2
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 0
BFR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |