Vega Real vs Atlantico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MOC
1 - 0
AVR
47%
29%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 0
AVR
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
DEP
34%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
CFC
31%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlantico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CFC
34%
28%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
AFC
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
MOC
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
CFC
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |