Vasco da Gama vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 2
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |