Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis

Vasco da Gama Botafogo
81 ELO 84
5.3% Tilt 1.7%
146º General ELO ranking 162º
22º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
42.1%
Vasco da Gama
25.6%
Draw
32.3%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.3%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-16%
-5%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2014
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
11%
19%
70%
80 54 26 0
26 Jan. 2014
VAS
Vasco da Gama
6 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
85%
12%
3%
80 52 28 0
22 Jan. 2014
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
14%
20%
66%
80 54 26 0
18 Jan. 2014
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
77%
15%
7%
80 60 20 0
08 Dec. 2013
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
5 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
46%
26%
28%
81 81 0 -1

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2014
QUI
Dep. Quito
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
36%
27%
37%
84 78 6 0
26 Jan. 2014
CAB
Cabofriense
2 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
11%
19%
71%
84 49 35 0
21 Jan. 2014
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 0
Bangu
BAN
86%
11%
3%
84 55 29 0
18 Jan. 2014
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
12%
21%
66%
84 54 30 0
08 Dec. 2013
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
67%
20%
13%
84 72 12 0