Varzim vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
FEI
26%
29%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 3
COV
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARO
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIL
88%
10%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
MAF
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |