Varzim vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ADO
0 - 0
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAF
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TIR
1 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
TIR
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PIN
2 - 0
TIR
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TIR
5 - 1
SAM
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TIR
0 - 0
PAÇ
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |