Varzim vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
SCP
3 - 0
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEL
45%
31%
25%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACA
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 1
VAR
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
22%
29%
49%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
SPB
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |