Varzim vs Ol. Moscavide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIZ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ol. Moscavide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 0
VIZ
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
OLH
2 - 1
OLM
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 1
GON
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VIT
4 - 0
OLM
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
OLM
1 - 3
RIO
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |