Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
FEI
2 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 0
GFC
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 3
VAR
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
VIZ
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
OLH
3 - 1
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
GON
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EST
1 - 2
RIO
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |