Vard vs Ørn Horten analysis

Vard Ørn Horten
49 ELO 46
9.7% Tilt 3.7%
4975º General ELO ranking 5283º
70º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Vard
21.4%
Draw
20.1%
Ørn Horten

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Vard
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.1%
Win probability
Ørn Horten
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vard
-8%
-21%
Ørn Horten

Points and table prediction

Vard
Their league position
Ørn Horten
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
13º
11º
33
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Egersund
62
62
100%
Lyn 1896 FK
62
62
100%
FK Arendal
44
44
100%
Notodden
36
39
100%
Grorud IL
36
36
100%
Kjelsås
35
35
100%
Ørn Horten
33
33
0%
Brattvåg
33
33
0%
Flekkeroy
32
32
100%
Vålerenga II
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Vard
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Træff
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Fram
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Aalesunds FK II
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vard
Ørn Horten
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vard
Ørn Horten
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vard
Vard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2023
AAL
Aalesunds FK II
1 - 0
Vard
VAR
34%
24%
42%
50 44 6 0
02 Sep. 2023
VAR
Vard
3 - 0
Træff
TRA
65%
19%
16%
49 41 8 +1
26 Aug. 2023
VAR
Vard
2 - 1
Fram
FRA
55%
22%
23%
48 45 3 +1
19 Aug. 2023
KJE
Kjelsås
0 - 0
Vard
VAR
63%
21%
15%
48 58 10 0
14 Aug. 2023
VAR
Vard
1 - 2
Vålerenga II
VAL
66%
19%
16%
48 39 9 0

Matches

Ørn Horten
Ørn Horten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
ORN
Ørn Horten
1 - 3
FK Arendal
FKA
23%
21%
56%
46 53 7 0
03 Sep. 2023
BRA
Brattvåg
2 - 0
Ørn Horten
ORN
46%
23%
30%
47 46 1 -1
28 Aug. 2023
ORN
Ørn Horten
5 - 0
Vålerenga II
VAL
58%
21%
21%
46 40 6 +1
19 Aug. 2023
EGE
Egersund
6 - 0
Ørn Horten
ORN
71%
18%
11%
47 57 10 -1
12 Aug. 2023
ORN
Ørn Horten
1 - 1
Kjelsås
KJE
26%
26%
47%
47 58 11 0