Vandalia vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vandalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
BAZ
0 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
1 - 2
ALM
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
UDS
2 - 2
VAN
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VAN
2 - 3
MOT
16%
26%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAN
48%
28%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
G74
19%
28%
54%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NIJ
2 - 2
MAN
72%
19%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
37%
30%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 2
MAN
34%
30%
36%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 3
ALH
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |