Valmiera FC vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 0
FKS
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 2
VAL
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
BFC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
RIG
4 - 2
LDZ
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FSM
3 - 3
RIG
7%
16%
76%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FKS
0 - 1
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RIG
4 - 0
LIE
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |