Real Valladolid vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 5
VAD
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SMR
2 - 0
VAD
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALA
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VAD
38%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAD
7 - 0
FCB
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
MIR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 0
LUG
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NUM
6 - 6
LUG
55%
26%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |