Vålerenga II vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
10º
36
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 0
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRO
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ORN
5 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYN
17%
20%
64%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
NOT
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 0
AAL
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |