Valentino Mazzola vs Pievese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+505%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valentino Mazzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 3
NUO
13%
19%
69%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ROZ
3 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pievese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PIE
1 - 2
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 1
PIE
19%
21%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PIE
1 - 1
PAN
69%
17%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |