Valenciennes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
5 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
SOC
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
USB
0 - 2
VAL
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
TFC
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
NIC
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |