Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
4 - 0
USB
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 0
LSO
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LYO
3 - 1
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
MPL
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |