Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
REI
2 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYO
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
SOC
0 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 2
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
BAS
0 - 3
MAR
32%
24%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
ANG
2 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1970 |
SED
5 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
0 - 2
ASN
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |