Valencia Mestalla vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ALZ
2 - 1
VAL
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
VAL
1 - 1
BUR
90%
7%
3%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
SAG
0 - 1
VAL
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
OLI
1 - 2
VAL
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
UDC
2 - 0
OND
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
SOR
2 - 0
UDC
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
UDC
1 - 5
UDC
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
GAN
8 - 1
UDC
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
UDC
2 - 2
ACE
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |