Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RSO
0 - 0
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
B19
2 - 2
VCF
13%
22%
66%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 2
SLA
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 3
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |