Valence vs GOAL FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
VAL
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
LYO
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MOA
2 - 3
OLY
14%
21%
66%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
2 - 1
MOA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MOA
2 - 1
SOC
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOA
1 - 0
YZE
23%
27%
50%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MOA
1 - 3
BOU
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |