Vale of Leithen vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 0
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
EDI
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
EDI
2 - 1
VAL
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LOT
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TYN
3 - 3
VAL
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 0
TYN
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 2
TYN
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STI
3 - 2
TYN
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
TYN
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TYN
3 - 3
VAL
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |