Valadares Gaia vs Recreativa de Lamelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
24
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAO
35%
28%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 0
VAL
28%
22%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
GON
53%
26%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 2
FFC
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
REB
1 - 2
ACD
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
3 - 0
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +6 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 0
ACD
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |