UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
18º
3
1º
5º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 10 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 8 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 8 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 8 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 8 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
3º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 7 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 7 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 7 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 7 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
3% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 5 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 4 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 3 |
18º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 3 |
19º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
UTC
1 - 2
MEL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
UTC
0 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
HUA
1 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
UTC
1 - 1
SBO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AUN
1 - 2
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
GAR
2 - 0
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
GAR
3 - 0
HUA
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
SBO
1 - 2
GAR
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
GAR
4 - 1
AUN
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AGP
0 - 0
GAR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |